Some articles on the Internet recently said
China's dynamic obedience to landing has drawn attention. Looking at the statistics in 2018, the electric power increased by 8.5%, while the GDP increased by 6.6%, and the electric elasticity coefficient was 1.29. That is to say, for every 1.29% increase in electricity, the GDP will increase by 1%. Among them, the electricity consumption of the second household increased by 7%, while the output value increased by 5.8%, and the electricity elasticity coefficient was 1.20. That is to say, for every 1.20% increase in electric power, the output value of the second sector will only increase by 1%.
From these data, energy efficiency is definitely low, which is against China's technological progress and improvement of household layout in recent years. However, in the past 40 years, it can be traced back even further. If we take 10 years as a cycle, the coefficient of elasticity of electric power in our country is continuously consolidated at 0.8%, and the error is very small. That is to say, every 0.8% increase in electricity will create a 1% increase in GDP. This shows the continuous advancement of technology and the continuous promotion of household layout, which is in line with the general development discipline.
In individual years, the elasticity coefficient of electric power will be as high as 1.5 or higher, while in low years, it will be only 0.35. The promotion of household layout and the change of technology is a slow process of following the rules. If not, there will be big ups and downs in a year. Often, due to the influence of the weather at that time, the statistical data have problems. If we take every 10 years as a cycle, these unusual bumps will be ironed out (corrected), which is basically linked to the elasticity coefficient of 0.8, which is in line with the discipline of economic development. Statistics institutions, research institutions and scholars, if they have fun, can list out the elasticity coefficient of electric power over the past 40 years and explain it. We have done this before.
Look at the energy consumption environment of the industry in 2018.
Several large energy consumption industries, one is the power generation industry. Nowadays, the energy consumption per unit of electricity is falling every year. Nowadays, the energy consumption of coal power in China has fallen to 308G coal per kilowatt hour, which is in an excellent position in the world. In this platform, we can't see the deterioration of power obedience discovery. In 2018, the ratio of output to energy consumption in the iron and steel industry is 1.23, that is to say, output is increased by 1.23, energy consumption is only increased by 1, and energy efficiency is advancing. In the past 20 years, the cost of raw materials, power and labor has been at a high tide, while the cost of steel has fallen, reflecting the technological progress and energy consumption drop of the steel industry. The rest of the power consumption: petrochemical, building materials and other environments are also based on clouds, so it is difficult to explain that the power will fall in 2018.
Why will the elasticity coefficient of electricity in 2018 be 1.29 and the elasticity coefficient of electricity in second generation be 1.2? I think it's related to the public opinion that China's economy is declining. Some economists in the international table even question that China's GDP growth in 2018 will be 6.6% water, some of which show that China's GDP growth is only four points. If so, it's hard to say that the electric power has increased by 8.5% and the second generation electric power has increased by 7%. We can only use the Chinese power to obey the landing. Our statistics are also influenced by the theory that China's economy is rapidly declining. We absorb some of the previous teachings and prefer to press more water on the statistical statements submitted below, which is not surprising. These cities have a profound impact on China's statistics, which should also be supported by data on the manufacture of electricity, transportation and other goods.
——Author：ebico